Met Office confirms Bonfire Night 2025 weather forecast

Families planning to head out on Guy Fawkes Night should be prepared for muddy terrain and may well need umbrellas.

Met Office forecasts currently indicate most of the country will experience at least light showers in the morning or early afternoon before Bonfire Night.

But many areas have a ‘higher chance’ of wet weather continuing into the evening, meteorologists say.

A front of fairly heavy rain from the Atlantic is set to hit the country on Tuesday, hitting Cornwall

It will then drench the West Midlands and most of northern England as it drifts in a northeasterly direction into the night.

Drizzles are expected to continue overnight almost everywhere except the south-east, clearing up by daybreak.

Further light outbursts are expected over the course of the day from which only Essex, Suffolk and Cambridgeshire are likely to be fully spared.

Current data is pointing to a drier evening, when fireworks events are expected to kick off, but meteorologists say this could easily change.

‘The most likely areas to remain dry and have clearer skies will be in central and eastern parts of England’, a spokesperson for the Met Office told Metro.

‘Further north and west in Wales, south west England, Northern Ireland and Western Scotland there will be more cloud coverage and higher chance of showers.

‘There is some uncertainty in how far East those showers will make it across the UK on Wednesday evening so keep an eye on the forecast over the next couple of days to see if you should take an umbrella or coat along.’

A potential silver lining is that the evening will be considerably warmer than usual.

‘It will be notably warm for the time of year, with day time temperatures reaching 16-17 degrees and overnight temperatures remaining elevated at around 14-15°C in the south, so unseasonable for bonfire night’, the Met Office added.

‘It will be cooler further north with lows of 6°C possible in rural Scotland and Wales.’

Bonfire Night temperatures typically range from 8°C to 12°C, with last year’s middling around 12°C.

The outlook for the rest of the working week is unsettled: ‘often cloudy’, ‘often windy’, and ‘longer spells of rain moving through’.

Into the weekend and next week, forecasters expect further showers with chance of heavy rain all over the country, though it’s ‘likely that western areas will be wettest’.

However only long-range forecasts are available for this time period and these are less reliable, meaning the picture could change significantly.

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